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Hillary Clinton's secret Iran man
Jake Sullivan, who helped bring about the nuclear talks, may have to help Clinton defend them in 2016.
By Michael Crowley
4/3/15 4:46 AM EDT
Updated 4/3/15 9:23 AM EDT
After
Clinton's 2008 primary defeat, Sullivan followed her to the State
Department — first as deputy chief of staff and then as State’s
youngest-ever director of policy planning. | AP Photo
AP Photo
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It
was Sept. 27, 2013, and President Barack Obama was about to place a
historic phone call to the president of Iran — a conversation that would
kick off the public phase of nuclear talks between two longtime
adversaries.
And it was at that moment that Jake Sullivan, a
30-something aide who’d spent months secretly laying the groundwork for
the talks, started to panic.
Hillary Clinton is pictured. | AP Photo
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Clinton on Iran deal: 'Diplomacy deserves a chance to succeed'
ANNIE KARNI
Was
he certain he’d given Obama the right number? Where exactly had it come
from again? Could the president of the United States be dialing an
imposter, or even a prankster?
Sullivan ran back to his office to
triple check his source, according to a person familiar with the
episode. The information was solid. He returned to the Oval Office — now
a little sweatier — for a 15-minute call in which Obama and Iranian
President Hassan Rouhani warmly agreed to pursue the talks.
Eighteen
months later, Sullivan’s attention to detail has paid off. In
Switzerland on Thursday, officials from the U.S. and five other nations
reached a framework deal to limit Iran’s nuclear program — vindicating,
for the moment at least, Sullivan’s deep personal involvement in the
process.
And thanks to Sullivan, the deal also bears the clear
fingerprints of his political mentor, former Secretary of State Hillary
Clinton, who first assigned him to the Iran file and with whom he
remains extremely close. Sullivan “was at my side nearly everywhere I
went” as secretary of state, Clinton wrote in her memoir, “Hard
Choices.”
Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, centre, arrives with US Secretary of State John Kerry, background centre right. | AP Photo
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What's in the Iran deal?
ADAM B. LERNER
Sullivan
has emerged as Clinton’s most trusted foreign policy adviser. It
remains undecided whether he‘ll have a formal post at campaign
headquarters during her all-but-certain 2016 presidential run, but
Clinton allies say he’ll be in daily contact with the candidate
regardless.
And should Clinton win the White House, Sullivan, now
38, is almost certain to take a top post in her administration —
possibly even as the country’s youngest-ever national security adviser.
“The
sky’s the limit,” says Strobe Talbott, a former top State Department
official under Bill Clinton. “He is somebody of extraordinary
intelligence and temperament.”
Talbott speaks for a legion of
admirers dazzled by the Rhodes Scholar and Yale Law School graduate’s
brains, but disarmed by his self-deprecating Midwestern modesty.
Sullivan,
who now teaches at Yale Law School, declined to comment for this
article. But in a 2013 commencement speech at the University of
Minnesota’s public affairs school, he publicly shared what many call the
secret to his success: “Reject cynicism. Reject certitude. And don’t be
a jerk. Be a good guy.”
FILE - In a Monday, March 16, 2015 file
photo, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a Likud party
meeting in Or Yehuda near Tel Aviv, Israel, a day ahead of legislative
elections. Israel's election has yielded a fractured parliament and no
clear winner, setting up a horse-trading phase that seems likely to
leave Netanyahu in his post and place the country on the brink of
confrontation with the world. It could also force a joint government
with moderate challenger Isaac Herzog. And there is the slimmest of
chances that Herzog, through machinations, ends up on top. Everything is
in the hands of Moshe Kahlon, a relative newcomer to the big leagues of
Israeli politics. (AP Photo/Ariel Schalit, File)
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“It’s
easy to be jealous of his résumé, but it’s impossible to hate him,”
said one Sullivan contemporary with a similar background. “He’s just
such a nice guy.”
Even many strongly opposed to the Iran deal sing his praises.
“Sharpest
guy on the [Iran] issue I know,” said Mark Dubowitz, executive director
of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, a withering critic of the
Iran talks.
Sullivan was “much more skeptical and tough-minded”
about the Islamic Republic than other Obama officials involved in the
talks, Dubowitz said. That view was echoed by sources who have worked
inside the administration: “He’s definitely been tougher,” said one.
That may reflect the influence of Clinton, who has long taken a harder line toward Tehran than has Obama.
Barack Obama is pictured. | Getty
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MICHAEL CROWLEY
During
the 2008 Democratic presidential primaries, Clinton called Obama
“irresponsible and frankly naïve” after he pledged to talk directly to
Iran without preconditions. She supported declaring the Iranian
Revolutionary Guard Corps a terrorist group, a move Obama said would
increase the chances of war. And when she warned that the U.S. could
“totally obliterate” Iran in response to an Iranian nuclear attack on
Israel, Obama likened her to George W. Bush.
Inside the Obama
administration, Clinton opposed talk of a policy of “containment” that
would tolerate a nuclear Iran, and was skeptical that Iran’s Supreme
Leader Ali Khamenei was truly prepared to strike a nuclear deal. She
would turn to Sullivan to test that proposition.
Sullivan grew up
in Minneapolis, where his father worked on the business side of the
Minneapolis Star-Tribune before moving to the University of Minnesota’s
journalism school. His mother worked as a teacher, librarian and
guidance counselor in the city’s public schools.
Sullivan was a
young standout — a debate champ and student council president at
Minneapolis’s Southwest High School. Then it was Yale University, where
he edited the Yale Daily News before going on to Oxford, law school —
where he worked on an amicus brief challenging Texas’ sodomy laws — and
then a clerkship under Supreme Court Justice Stephen Breyer.
An Iranian oil worker walks at Tehran's oil refinery south of the capital in Iran. | AP Photo
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He
joined Clinton’s 2008 presidential campaign as a policy adviser
focusing on foreign affairs. He put his debate skills to use as
Clinton’s sparring partner in presidential primary debate prep sessions.
After
her primary defeat, he joined Obama’s campaign and then followed
Clinton to the State Department — first as deputy chief of staff and
then as State’s youngest-ever director of policy planning.
Though
he is a solid Democrat, colleagues say Sullivan is no ideologue. He
often argues that foreign policy defies simple prescriptions.
“Policymaking
is fundamentally a study in imperfection,” he told an audience at Duke
University in January, adding that in many cases, American power doesn’t
necessarily produce positive outcomes.
Sullivan has said he
wishes the U.S. had done more to encourage Iran’s dissident Green
Movement in 2009, but notes that some reformers had warned against it at
the time, making for a hard decision.
And although Clinton
supported sending arms to Syria’s moderate rebels in 2012, a plan Obama
opposed, Sullivan has conceded that policy had only a modest chance of
success.
He and Clinton were likewise skeptical about the
prospects of a nuclear deal with Iran, though determined to try
diplomacy. When the sultan of Oman relayed an offer from Tehran to talk,
Clinton tasked Sullivan to test it.
Sullivan had little
experience negotiating with foreign diplomats. But, as Clinton later
wrote, “he was discreet and had my absolute confidence. His presence
would send a powerful message that I was personally invested in this
process.”
WASHINGTON, DC - APRIL 02: U.S. President Barack Obama
delivers remarks in the Rose Garden of the White House on negotiations
with Iran over their nuclear program on April 2, 2015 in Washington, DC.
In exchange for Iran's agreement to curb their country's nuclear
proliferation, the United States would lift some of the crippling
sanctions imposed. (Photo by Win McNamee/Getty Images)
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EDWARD-ISAAC DOVERE
In
July 2012, Sullivan flew to Oman’s capital, Muscat, along with National
Security Council aide Puneet Talwar. After sleeping on couches in an
empty Embassy house, the two held the first of several meetings with
Iranian officials aimed at establishing that the Iranians were serious
about compromise.
It was the first of many meetings Sullivan had
with the Iranians. Colleagues said he brought a surprisingly good touch
to the talks.
“I think he has a good feel for the human element,”
said Gary Samore, who handled the Iran nuclear portfolio in the Obama
White House until 2013. “These negotiations are more than technical, and
there’s also some need to understand the adversary and what motivates
them.” Sources said that Sullivan took a lawyerly approach, offering
rigorous reasoning that did not condescend to Iranian officials
sensitive to any sign of disrespect.
Sullivan followed Clinton to
the State Department — first as deputy chief of staff and then as
State’s youngest-ever director of policy planning. | AP Photo
“The
Iranians look at him as someone they can deal with,” added Dennis Ross,
a former top national security official in the Obama White House.
So
do Republicans, even some fierce critics of the nuclear talks, who say
they find Sullivan’s briefings on Capitol Hill more substantive and
respectful than those of other Obama officials.
The secret
meetings in Oman convinced Sullivan and, eventually Obama, that the
Iranians were serious. In 2013, Sullivan helped to arrange the
vertigo-inducing phone call between the U.S. president and Rouhani,
Iran’s newly elected president, who was in New York City for an annual
United Nations gathering. An Iranian official gave Sullivan the number
for Obama to call, and a new and public phase of the diplomatic process
began.
EU's foreign policy chief Federica Mogherini (L) and Iranian
Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif attend the announcement of an
agreement on Iran nuclear talks on April 2, 2015 at the The Swiss
Federal Institutes of Technology (EPFL) in Lausanne. Iran and world
powers said they had reached agreement on Thursday on 'key parameters'
of a potentially historic deal aimed at preventing Tehran from building
the bomb. AFP PHOTO / FABRICE COFFRINI (Photo credit should read FABRICE
COFFRINI/AFP/Getty Images)
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By
that point, Clinton was out of the administration, and Sullivan had
moved to the White House to become Vice President Joe Biden’s national
security adviser, working from an Old Executive Office Building suite
with a combination lock on the door. The U.S. joined international talks
with five other nations, managed by Undersecretary of State Wendy
Sherman with oversight from Secretary of State John Kerry.
Sullivan
remained deeply involved in the Iran file, although until the secret
talks were public, he tried to stay out of view. As Kerry negotiated the
first interim agreement with Iran in November 2013, Sullivan flew to
Geneva for the talks but stayed in a different hotel and slipped through
back doors to avoid the notice of reporters.
After that deal was
signed, The Associated Press revealed the secret talks and Sullivan’s
role in them. U.S. allies in the region, including Saudi Arabia and
Israel, were infuriated that they had not been informed, but the
administration pleaded that the trust-building contacts out of the
public spotlight had been essential.
Sullivan left Biden’s staff
last fall for Yale. But he continued to take part in the nuclear talks
until several weeks ago. Even now, in an unusual role for a private
citizen, he makes regular trips from New Haven to Washington to
informally advise the administration and brief members of Congress on
the talks.
After a wedding this June, Sullivan will increasingly
focus on counseling Clinton, who will have to position herself against
critics of the Iran deal and her role in it. They include Israeli Prime
Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and powerful Jewish-American political
groups — not her 2016 Republican rivals, who uniformly oppose it.
Some
former colleagues say Sullivan is especially valuable to Clinton
because, more than many career diplomats, he has a feel for how world
issues play at home. “Jake was someone a little more attuned to the
politics,” Ross said.
His compulsive self-questioning, evidenced
at the time of Obama’s phone call to Rouhani, will also be an asset. In
Clinton’s world, said a person close to her, “there’s a level of
scrutiny on everything she does. So the substance of what she does has
to be 100 percent. And Jake understands that.”
Sullivan, who has
spoken of his respect for people who submit themselves to the harsh
spotlight of public life, has not ruled out a campaign of his own in the
future. “If there were ever an opportunity to serve in elected office
and I thought I could do a good job,” Sullivan told an audience in
January, “I would definitely consider it.”
Others have seen broader horizons for him.
When
the late Richard Holbrooke was on assignment in Afghanistan in 2009,
the legendary diplomat found himself reporting back to Sullivan, then
just 32 years old.
After one call, a colleague recalled, Holbrooke hung up the phone and said: “That guy could be secretary of state.”
Authors:
Read more: http://www.politico.com/story/2015/04/hillary-clintons-secret-iran-man-116647.html#ixzz3WGXDdMD8
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